Whose government will be formed in Maharashtra?
Whose government will be formed in Maharashtra this time? The question was raised in view of the slow progress in voting for the 288 parliamentary seats. After the vote, experts will try to resolve the issue from exit poll data, which has caused uproar in recent years by failing to pass the mark.
In such a situation, apart from the exit polls, these 4 numbers should you know from these 4 numbers who will form the government in Maharashtra?
The first fact depends on the performance of pocket parties and independents.
The Lok Sabha elections in Maharashtra were reduced to two parties, although minor parties and independent candidates dominated the 10 seats. It is said that pocket parties like Vanchit Vikas Aghadi, Bahujan Vikas Aghadi, AIMIM can also compete for some seats in the assembly elections.
Beyond this, independent candidates are in a strong position in more than two dozen seats. In South Solapur, senior Congress leader Sushil Kumar Shinde backed an independent candidate. Shinde’s daughter is also a Lok Sabha member here.
In 2019, independent candidates won 13 seats. In 2014 the number was about 8. In the event of a hung parliament, these independent candidates could play the role of kingmakers.
In the 2019 elections, 11 small parties won 14 seats. This time everyone is also paying attention to the performance of these small gatherings.
Second fact – MVA leads in Lok Sabha
Such a political structure exists in parliamentary elections. A similar alliance exists in the Lok Sabha elections. The Indian alliance includes political parties such as the Congress, Shiv Shiv Sena-UBT and NCP-Sharad, while the Bharatiya Janata Party, Shiv Sena-Shinde and NCP-Ajit are partners in the NDA alliance.
Some small parties, including Prakash Ambedkar, fought alone on the battlefield. In this Lok Sabha election, the Bharatiya Janata Party leads with the largest advantage of 83 seats. Ajit Pawar’s party leads in 6 seats and Eknath Shinde’s party in 38 seats.
Likewise, the Congress is leading on 63 seats, Shiv Sena-Uddhav on 56 seats and NCP-Sharad on 38 seats. Asaduddin Owaisi’s party leads in 2 seats and Independent Party in 7 seats.
The equation for Lok Sabha elections is different from that for Lok Sabha elections. The parties of Bahujan Vikas Aghadi and Prakash Ambedkar are said to be in a strong position in seats where the BJP is leading.
On the other hand, Mahavikas Aghadi is also working to connect the Samajwadi Party and Shetkari Sangathan with himself.
The third fact-BJP and Congress are directly competing for 65 seats
As for who forms the government, it will depend more on the performance of the two national parties than on the performance of the regional parties. The Congress is in direct competition with the Bharatiya Janata Party for 65 seats. Most of these seats are from Vidarbha region. The Congress party takes the lead in the Lok Sabha elections.
However, the BJP also maintained its lead in the assembly elections on behalf of the BJP. Nana Patole takes over from the Congress side.
It is said that the leading party alliance in these 65 seats can easily touch the magic number in Maharashtra. Maharashtra has 288 seats and needs 145 MPs to form the government.
This time the BJP will contest the elections to 160 seats here.
Fact Four – Only a coalition government will be formed
Since 1995, no political party has been able to secure a majority in Maharashtra on its own. In 1995, the Shiv Sena and the Bharatiya Janata Party jointly formed the government. In 1999, the Congress and Sharad Pawar’s party jointly formed the government. Even in 2004, a coalition government of Congress and NCP was formed in Maharashtra.
In 2009, the Congress Party and the National Conference Party jointly formed the government. In 2014, the Bharatiya Janata Party and the Shiv Sena formed a coalition government. In 2019, Mahavikas Aghadi was formed, and NCP, Shivsena and Congress jointly formed the government.
Recently, Union Home Minister Amit Shah said that we will form a coalition government in 2024 and then a separate government in 2029. The BJP is in alliance with Eknath Shinde and Ajit Pawar. On the other hand, India also has alliances. Here, all three parties contest the election with almost the same number of seats.
