Allied leaders welcome PM Modi
Compared to 2019, the BJP won fewer seats in the Lok Sabha elections. As a result, discussions about the collapse of the PPP began in various places. The reason is obvious, the BJP won 303 seats in 2019 but claimed to cross 400 seats. But things just stop at 240. The Congress and its voters started promoting this as their victory and started claiming the defeat of the BJP in the upcoming Assembly elections citing Haryana, Maharashtra, Rajasthan and Bihar of seats, but the opposite is true.
Just a few months after the Lok Sabha elections, the BJP won seats in these states, crushing all the dreams of the opposition. Clearly, the results in Haryana and Maharashtra are nothing less than a nightmare for the Congress. Meanwhile, the BJP’s stellar performance in by-elections in Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan and Bihar completely destroyed the narrative prepared by the constitutional parties, including the Congress.
Why did the Congress narrative collapse in Maharashtra, Haryana and Rajasthan?
In the Lok Sabha elections, the BJP won 9 seats in Maharashtra, which increased to 23 seats after the 2019 Lok Sabha elections. The BJP was surprised by the results in Maharashtra. But the message is clear that apart from issues of constitutional reform and caste census, the Maratha reservationists are also against the BJP. Not only this, the people of Maharashtra are clearly angry over the split between the Shiv Sena and the NCP. So the people of Maharashtra gave the thumbs up to the BJP along with Eknath Shinde’s Shiv Sena and Ajit Pawar’s NCP Learned a painful lesson.
After this result, everyone, be it Shiv Sena (Uddhav) leader Sanjay Raut or Congress party Nana Patole, started loudly advocating for giving in the assembly elections. The idea of a lesson for the Bharatiya Janata Party alliance Mahayutthi. The BJP is worried about the poor performance in Maharashtra and Eknath Shinde’s reputation as Mahayutthi commander in the state is also at stake. On one hand, Eknath Shinde and Ajit Pawar have to prove that their parties are the real Shiv Sena and NCP. The biggest concern for the BJP in the state is regaining its lost support base. The BJP knows that a defeat in Maharashtra will have a direct impact on the strength of the central government.
After setback, BJP moves to address shortcomings
Therefore, in addition to working on its own shortcomings, the PPP is also working on strategies to connect with voters. The results are now visible. The BJP won 132 of the 149 seats contested, with a winning rate of 90%. Thanks to the efforts of the BJP, the Shiv Sena (Shind) and the NUP led by Ajit Pawar created history by winning 57 and 41 seats respectively. In the battle between the real Shiv Sena and the real NCP, both Eknath Shinde and Ajit Pawar were successful. Meanwhile, the BJP has managed to blunt the anti-OBC narrative by gaining an outright majority in Maharashtra and its electorate, which puts the constitution at risk. Mahayut successfully raised the flag, winning 232 of the 288 seats.
The BJP lost 14 seats in the Lok Sabha elections but won the seats in the Assembly elections with a 90% strike rate and is expected to defeat the Congress. A similar situation emerged in Haryana in October. The Congress had assumed that the BJP, which lost five seats in the Lok Sabha elections, would face defeat in the Haryana assembly elections, but the result was exactly the opposite and the BJP succeeded in forming the government for the third time in India. state. Eventually Congress was forced to shut up.
The BJP achieved a similar result in the Lok Sabha in Rajasthan. The BJP, which had won 100% or 25 seats in the last two elections, was reduced to 14 seats. Therefore, in the Rajasthan by-elections, the BJP once again demonstrated its strong position in Rajasthan, winning 5 out of 7 seats. While the Congress failed to maintain its lead in the Lok Sabha, the BJP appears to have succeeded in regaining its lost support base.
How did the BJP manage to recoup its losses?
The BJP won 303 seats in 2019, which was reduced to 240 in this Lok Sabha election. The BJP alone lost 14 seats in Maharashtra, 10 in Rajasthan, 29 in Uttar Pradesh and 5 in Bihar, Among them, 5 seats were lost in Haryana. The BJP made strong amends by forming the government in Haryana. Meanwhile, it made a strong comeback, winning 5 out of 7 seats in by-elections in Rajasthan and Bihar and all seats in Bihar. In Uttar Pradesh too, the BJP won 7 out of 9 seats in the by-elections, seemingly destroying the PDA model of the Samajwadi Party.
It can be seen from the data that where the BJP lost in the Lok Sabha elections, it made a strong comeback and raised its banner in the Assembly elections. So, in just 6 months, the PPP saw what 2019 looked like. At that time, the BJP single-handedly won 303 seats in the Lok Sabha. The Congress party, which used a cane to attack the central government, once again began to adopt a defensive attitude as it did in 2019. The defeat in Maharashtra and Haryana was a major defeat for the Congress. Meanwhile, the Congress is certainly getting some relief as the JMM-led government was formed in Jharkhand. But the entire credit for the Jharkhand assembly victory goes to Hemant Soren and his wife Kalpana Soren.
How did the BJP make a comeback in 6 months?
The BJP has strongly united the OBC voters in Maharashtra. Meanwhile, the BJP succeeded in destroying claims to amend the constitution in the Lok Sabha elections. In Vidarbha, the BJP succeeded in wooing the small OBC caste by setting up a company. On one hand, the BJP is uniting the small castes who have come together to protest against the Maratha reservation. And the Congress, Shiv Sena (Uddhav) and NCP (Sharad) remained entangled over the seat allocation issue till the end. There was a fierce fight within the Maha Aghadi for the post of chief minister. As a result, Maha Aghadi failed to even come together to issue a manifesto.
The limit was reached when the Maha Aghadi, under pressure from the Ulema Council, began making public statements about accepting their 20 demands. Clearly, slogans such as “If we are united, we are safe” and “If we are divided, we are cut” effectively mobilized the Hindu vote. For these reasons, the BJP regained its lost support base in a powerful manner and gave its opponents a befitting reply. Even in Haryana, the BJP has succeeded in sealing off smaller castes. Therefore, the Bharatiya Janata Party, which was busy campaigning, successfully formed the government for the third time with the help of the campaign and the characteristics of the Sangh.
Akhilesh’s PDA formula also collapsed in UP
Meanwhile, the narrative being prepared in favor of the Samajwadi Party in Uttar Pradesh ahead of the 2027 assembly elections has collapsed. SP created history by winning 37 seats in the Lok Sabha. But a few months later, a crushing defeat in seven out of nine seats created an atmosphere in favor of the BJP again in Uttar Pradesh. The victory in Kundalki, Moradabad, is even more encouraging for the BJP as 60% of the population here is Muslim.
In the by-elections in Rajasthan, the Congress party won only one-seventh of the seats, winning by just 2,300 votes. The second seat was won by the Bharatiya Janata Party and the remaining five seats were won by the Bharatiya Janata Party. A similar situation emerged in the Bihar by-elections to the BJP, where the NDA won four out of four seats while the RJD alliance lost three.
