After Haryana and Jammu and Kashmir, two states, Jharkhand and Maharashtra, will also hold elections. Apart from these two states, by-elections are also going on in 47 assembly seats in different states of the country, but Maharashtra is the most discussed. A ‘power war’ between the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led Mahayutthi Party and the Congress-led opposition Maha Vikas Aghadi (MVA) in the Maharashtra elections ”, leading regional parties such as the two Shiv Sena and the two Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh to form alliances with these parties. The two national parties also have their own advantages.
The two alliances have yet to officially announce the seat allocation formula, but the Grand Alliance parties have announced candidates for 182 seats so far. The MVA is engaged in a marathon brainstorming session on seat sharing. On the basis of the possible seat allocation formula that has surfaced, we are now beginning to discuss which side is making a profit and which side is losing in this fight that has not yet entered the electoral field? To understand this, it is necessary to discuss the seat distribution of the 2019 Maharashtra elections, the election results and the change in party strength from two to four in the wake of the Shiv Sena-NCP rebellion Condition.
Alliance structure and seat sharing in 2019
The Maharashtra Assembly has 288 seats. In the last assembly elections, there was a Shiv Sena and an NCP. The Shiv Sena is contesting the elections in alliance with the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), while the Shiv Sena is in alliance with the Congress. Talking about Mahayutthi, the BJP has fielded candidates on 164 seats and the Shiv Sena on 126 seats, which means the two parties are having a friendly fight on two seats. In the opposition alliance, the Congress Party won 147 seats and the National Congress Party won 121 seats. Subsequently, the BJP became the largest party with 105 seats and the Shiv Sena became the second largest party with 56 seats. NCP won 54 seats and Congress 44 seats.
Also Read: Maharashtra Elections: Seat-sharing runoff between MVA, Shiv Sena-NCP and Uddhav factions to be announced today!
What is the current strength of which side?
Talking about the current situation in the Maharashtra Assembly, the BJP has 103 MLAs, Shiv Sena (Shinde) 40, NCP (Ajit Pawar) 40 and Bahujan Vikas Aghadi has 3 MLAs. However, if we talk about Maha Vikas Aghadi, there are 43 MPs, 15 Shiv Sena (UBT) and 13 NCP (Sharad Pawar). In Maharashtra Assembly, Samajwadi Party has two MLAs, AIMIM has two, PJP has two, MNS, CPM, Shekap, Swabhimani Party, Rashtriya Samaj Party, Maharashtra Jansuraj Shakti Party, Krantikari Shetkari Party have one each An MLA.
Also Read: Maharashtra Elections: Seat-sharing runoff for Mahayuthy! BJP will contest 156 seats, know how many seats Shiv Sena and NCP will contest
Who benefits and who loses in the possible formula?
As per Mahayuthi’s likely seat-sharing formula, the BJP will contest 156 seats, Eknath Shinde’s Shiv Sena 78-80 and Ajit Ajit Pawar’s National Congress Party (NCP) is contesting 53 to 54 seats. Shinde’s party has 40 MLAs and Ajit Pawar’s party has 43. If we look at the ratio, Shiv Sena is at an advantage and NCP is at a disadvantage. After the political turmoil, both parties called themselves real parties. From this perspective, the number of seats for both has decreased compared with 2019. If this likely formula holds, the BJP will contest 10 fewer seats than in 2019.
Also read: Mahayutthi ruckus: Why Shinde and Shiv Sena insist on two seats in Mumbai?
Talking about the possible formula for MVA seat distribution, the Congress will contest 104 to 106 seats, the Shiv Sena (UBT) will contest 92 to 96 seats and the NCP (SP) will contest 85 to 88 seats. If the formula for final seat distribution changes, the Shiv Sena (UBT) will contest more seats than the Eknath Shinde-led party despite contesting fewer seats than in 2019. The NCP(SP) also appears to have an advantage in terms of number of seats compared to Ajit Pawar’s party.
